Donald Trump's candidate for the Supreme Court, Brett Kavanaugh, September 4, 2018. – Alex Edelman / NEWSCOM / SIPA
We are approaching the denouement. The Supreme Court's confirmation that Kavanaugh, accused of sexual abuse, has torn America apart for several weeks. After a favorable procedural vote, the Senate is expected to vote in full on Saturday. And everything will be played according to the vote of a Republican senator and a Democrat.
On Friday, Republican Jeff Blake, who surprised his colleagues by calling for an FBI investigation last week, said he would vote in favor of the judge. The Arizona senator, who does not carry Donald Trump in his heart, said he was convinced by the report of the federal police, stating that no witness had corroborated the allegations of Christine Blasey Ford, who accuses Brett Kavanaugh for attempting to rape her in high school in the 1980s.
Alaska's rebellious Lisa Murkowski, who had already torpedo the repeal of Obamacare with John McCain, has said no. "He is not, for the time being, the right man for the Court," she told reporters, quoted by CNN.
All eyes on Susan Collins at 9:00 pm
With this no, the room for maneuver Republicans is minimal. All eyes are on Sen. Susan Collins. This moderate republican, favorable to the abortion, voted to open the debates, but she must announce her final decision at 15:00 (21:00 in Paris), during a speech in the Senate.
If she drops Brett Kavanaugh, there will remain hope for the conservative party, the Democrat Joe Manchin. This centrist faces a complicated reelection in West Virginia, a rural and industrial state that voted for Donald Trump at 68 percent. He also voted to open the debate, but has not yet revealed his final decision. In the event of a 50-50 tie, Brett Kavanaugh would be confirmed as Vice President Mike Pence would play the referees. The judge will be recaled if Collins and Manchin vote no.
For the moment, Republican leader Mitch McConnell looks confident. We will know more at 21:00.